Wind RazorgaleTier 2
at IanTCG Regional
decks
4
(13.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19
7-7-5
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.8%
avg ELO -1.6 per match
expected value
47.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1247
· median 1187
· range 1170–1445
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1078
Q1 1200
Q3 1409
1520
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
75% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 13.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 36.3% | -13.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 13.3% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 37.5% | -12.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.3% | -5.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Slimes | 6.7% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.8% | -4.6 |
| Water Allies | 6.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.4% | +9.0 |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -1.4 |
| Fire Silvie | 3.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.1% | +13.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Wind Exia | 3.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.6 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.6% | -0.7 |
